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EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC. (EEFT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Adjusted EPS of $3.62 grew 19% YoY and ~41% QoQ, modestly beating S&P Global consensus ($3.62 vs $3.61)*, while revenue of $1,145.7M rose 4% YoY but missed consensus ($1,198.1M) amid macro and immigration-policy headwinds in Money Transfer and more selective travel/consumer spending impacting EFT/ATMs. Consolidated operating margin expanded ~40 bps YoY to ~17.0%.
- Segment mix: EFT led with 10% revenue growth and 9% OI growth; Money Transfer revenue grew 3% but OI rose just 2% on corridor softness; epay revenue declined 1% (constant-currency -5%) due to a discontinued U.S. mobile activation product, with limited earnings impact as OI rose 7%.
- Guidance maintained: management reaffirmed FY2025 adjusted EPS growth of 12%–16% YoY; Q4 expected to show a turnaround from Q3’s softer revenue trends.
- Strategic catalysts: new Dandelion partnerships (Citigroup; CBA), Fireblocks tie-up to enable stablecoin on/off-ramps and first stablecoin-enabled use cases slated for 1Q26; continued CoreCard acquisition progress; robust merchant acquiring growth in Greece. These themes should frame near-term stock reaction and medium-term re-rating potential as digital initiatives scale.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- EFT delivered another solid quarter (rev +10%, OI +9% YoY), aided by developing market expansion and merchant acquiring; Greece merchant services posted its strongest quarter since acquisition (OI +33% YoY).
- Adjusted EPS growth +19% YoY to a record third quarter level ($3.62), with consolidated operating margin up ~40 bps YoY, reflecting expense discipline and mix.
- Strategic momentum: signed Dandelion with Citigroup and CBA to expand real-time cross-border reach; Fireblocks partnership to integrate stablecoin on/off-ramps and treasury settlement; CoreCard acquisition on track. “We’re enhancing Euronet’s global money network with stablecoin innovation…connecting blockchain digital assets to real-world payments liquidity in over 200 countries.” — CEO Mike Brown.
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What Went Wrong
- Revenue growth below plan: macro uncertainty and immigration policy changes pressured Money Transfer volumes; U.S.-to-Mexico remittances were flat for EEFT vs an estimated 12% market decline, but still weighed on growth.
- epay revenue declined 1% (constant-currency -5%) due to discontinuation of a U.S. mobile activation product; limited earnings impact but dampened reported revenue.
- ATM spend sensitivity: European travelers remained selective; softer discretionary cash withdrawal patterns pressured ATM throughput despite steady travel volume, contributing to the topline miss.
Financial Results
Consolidated results and estimate comparison
- Notes: Operating margin = Operating Income / Revenue: Q3’24 ~16.6% (182.2/1,099.3), Q2’25 ~14.8% (158.6/1,074.3), Q3’25 ~17.0% (195.0/1,145.7) . Management highlighted ~40 bps YoY expansion in Q3’25.
- Asterisked consensus values are from S&P Global. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment performance (Revenue and Operating Income)
Key performance indicators (period-end or quarterly activity)
Guidance Changes
- Management commentary: “We are well positioned to deliver earnings in line with our previously provided adjusted EPS growth range of 12% to 16% year-over-year.”
- Q4 set-up: bottom-up forecast indicates a turnaround from Q3’s revenue softness; October trends running ahead of internal forecast.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Michael Brown (press release): “While we anticipated more robust revenues in the quarter, we’ve seen stronger economic and immigration pressure across the globe…with 19% third quarter adjusted earnings per share growth…we are well positioned to deliver earnings in line with our previously provided adjusted EPS growth range of 12% to16% year-over-year.”
- CEO (call): “We’re enhancing Euronet’s global money network with stablecoin innovation…Our on- and off-ramp capabilities will make stablecoins practical…We plan to launch our first set of stablecoin-enabled use cases in the first quarter of 2026.”
- CFO Rick Weller: “We delivered…adjusted earnings per share of $3.62…consolidated operating margins expanded by approximately 40 basis points over the prior year quarter.”
- CFO (capital allocation): “We completed a $1 billion convertible bond offering at…0.625%, maturing in 2030…we repurchased approximately $130 million of our shares [in Q3]…approximately 85% of our annual earnings over the past four years [returned] through share repurchases.”
Non-GAAP adjustments and their impact
- Adjusted EPS excludes effects of FX gains/losses, share-based compensation, intangible amortization, non-cash investment items, non-cash tax expense, impairment, and dilutive shares related to convertibles; Q3 adjusted EPS $3.62 vs GAAP diluted $2.75.
Q&A Highlights
- EFT softness: Spend selectivity more visible in ATMs; acquiring grew strongly (Greece OI +33% YoY). “People are just basically spending less. We see that at the ATMs.”
- Money Transfer pricing: Largely consistent YoY; some pressure in Middle East due to currency/black market dynamics; net impact not meaningful in Q3.
- Digital penetration: DTC digital transactions +32% YoY; now ~16% of MT transactions. Goal to reach ~30–35% over time while maintaining omnichannel as many customers prefer OTC.
- October trends/Q4: October run-rate stronger than September and ahead of forecast; management cautiously optimistic for Q4 improvement.
- ATMs by geography: Growth more weighted to non-Europe with higher profit per ATM; possible culling of low-profit European ATMs offset by infrastructure roles (e.g., Spain).
- Capital allocation and CoreCard: Maintain investment-grade posture; balanced M&A and buybacks; ~2.3M shares to be issued for CoreCard.
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus: Adjusted EPS $3.62 vs $3.61 consensus (beat by ~$0.01); Revenue $1,145.7M vs $1,198.1M consensus (miss by ~$52.4M, ~4.4%). Primary EPS estimates based on 9 estimates; revenue based on 8 estimates. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implications: Expect estimate revisions focused on revenue trajectory and Money Transfer volumes, partly offset by stronger margin and buyback support to EPS.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix and margin resilience: Despite a revenue miss, consolidated operating margin expanded and adjusted EPS grew 19% YoY, supported by cost control, mix, and buybacks. This cushions EPS even in softer macro phases.
- Money Transfer headwinds appear cyclical/policy-driven: Immigration policy and macro softness pressured volumes and certain corridors, but digital grew 32% and U.S.–Mexico outperformed the market (flat vs market down ~12%). Watch for Q4 continuation of October strength.
- Digital rails scaling: Dandelion partnerships with Citigroup and CBA expand real-time reach; Union Bank launch adds traction; these can accelerate non-cash growth and diversify corridors.
- Stablecoin optionality: Fireblocks partnership and 1Q26 pilot timeline add a credible path to faster settlements and broader on/off-ramp monetization—an emerging multi-year catalyst.
- CoreCard + Ren: A differentiated full-stack issuing/acquiring/credit offering expands TAM and margin potential; cross-sell synergy into EEFT’s global client base.
- Capital flexibility: $1B 0.625% converts extend duration, repay revolver; ongoing buybacks (Q3 ~$130M) support EPS and can offset dilution from converts/CoreCard issuance.
- Near-term trading setup: Narrative likely hinges on Q4 revenue inflection and Money Transfer trends; any incremental Dandelion/stablecoin/merchant acquiring wins or CoreCard close could act as positive catalysts.
Additional Context and Sources
- Q3 2025 press release (8-K Exhibit 99.1): consolidated and segment results, guidance reaffirmation, balance sheet.
- Q3 2025 earnings call transcript: margin commentary, macro/immigration impacts, Dandelion/Fireblocks updates, capital allocation.
- Prior quarters for trend analysis:
- Q2 2025 press release: revenue $1,074.3M; OI $158.6M; Adj. EBITDA $206.2M; Adj. EPS $2.56; segment detail.
- Q1 2025 press release: revenue $915.5M; OI $75.2M; Adj. EBITDA $118.7M; Adj. EPS $1.13; segment detail.
- Q3 ancillary press releases: Heritage Grocers partnership (Hispanic retail footprint), Dandelion–Commonwealth Bank (CBA).
Asterisked consensus numbers are from S&P Global. Values retrieved from S&P Global.